Caulfield Racing Tips
Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 6m entire circuit
Best Bet: Race 10 – PEACEFUL STATE
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Race 1: 3YO Fillies Plate 1400m
DELUSIONS (9) has only been to the races once but she could not have been more impressive. She was wide without cover not far off the lead, improved on the turn before taking over at the furlong and charging clear for an impressive debut win. This is obviously harder but she looks to have untapped potential.
Dangers:
MUTHEERA (10) comes into this as a maiden, she has been beaten favourite at all three starts and has been costly for punters. The ability is obviously there, just needs cover here to run on well. KHULAASA (1) is already a black type winner, she was only fair at her first two this campaign before narrowly going under last time. She will find this easier. ZIZZIS (2) showed plenty at her first campaign, she just doesn’t look to have come back as good and can improve here third-up.
Race 2: Gothic Stakes 3YO C&G 1400m
YULONG JANUARY (3) remains undefeated after three career starts, he went to Sydney last time for an impressive heavy track win after two crushing victories here in Vic to start his career. He handles all conditions and has the speed to be on the pace for a long way.
Dangers:
RANIER (4) comes into this a maiden, for those that were on him at Flemington you can’t believe he still has that status. He was a certainty beaten after Hugh Bowman was held-up and looking for runs the entire straight before flashing late. WILD PLANET (1) has won two in a row including a Listed victory last time out after working. No doubt the second horse should have won that race but he had to do plenty in the run also. SIGNORE FOX (5) has won three of four this time in north of the border, just hard to line up that form here.
Race 3: Caulfield Sprint 1000m
EDUARDO (6) is a star in the making, he was enormous fresh here when all the other on-pacers are still yet to finish then went to Flemington for his first look up the straight and was brave in defeat. He will roll forward and deserves the win today.
Dangers:
BONS AWAY (3) comes through that same form line, he will get back and run on hard. He has hit the line well at both runs, if the speed in on look for him late. SPENDING TO WIN (4) rarely runs a bad race, he doesn’t map as well here as at previous starts though. MISS LEONIDAS (8) looks the leader, if she jumps well off the inside gate she will give them something to catch. The only problem being is that the top selection may be up eye-balling her and she will be the first to crack in that scenario.
Race 4: Alinghi Stakes Fillies and Mares 1100m
FROM WITHIN (8) is an interesting runner, she has been crushing them in easier races in Queensland and steps up a level here. She has very good speed, look to see hos the track is playing, she may be able to lead all the way if it is favouring the on-pacers.
Dangers:
ACQUME (10) is first-up but has placed at all three previous fresh runs, if the speed is on she may be the one running on over the top late fresh. GREY SHADOW (4) is flying, she has won two in a row but the gate is a concern. If the leader kicks she will struggle to run her down and if the on-pacers start to give ground, she will need luck getting away from the inside. She looks a big risk. CARNIVAL (2) will be big odds but was ok here at her first run since coming across from NZ. She can improve off that.
Race 5: Ethereal Stakes 3YO Fillies 2000m
VERRY ELLEEGANT (6) was having her first run in Australia since coming from NZ at Flemington a fortnight ago, she was well in the market but was held-up at vital stages from the 500 to the 200 before hitting the line hard. She lost all momentum that day and looks suited getting out to the 2000m.
Dangers:
ARISTIA (3) was never tested in the Edward Manifold, she was looking for runs all the way from the top of the straight and never got a look. She should have finished a lot closer. GREYSFUL GLAMOUR (2) won the Oaks trial three weeks ago, she has since returned to Sydney for a trial and looks one of the leaders. PRESSURE (10) had every chance in that Oaks trial, she looks a little one paced and will be better suited over the further ground.
Race 6: Caulfield Classic 3YO 2000m
EXTRA BRUT (3) is going through the grades nicely and can take the next step here. He has a major weapon in his versatility and in not one dimensional, from the good draw here he should be a couple of pairs back and ready to strike. His only defeat to date was on debut, his win at Flemington last time was enormous.
Dangers:
THINKIN’ BIG (1) comes down from NSW with a big wrap, he didn’t have a lot of luck in the Spring Champion last time when he was forced to work to get up outside the lead. If he is able to dictate terms, they won’t be catching him. MUSWELLBROOK (2) is consistent and may improve with the blinkers off, DEALMAKER (6) also comes through that Spring Champion form line. He was ok but got too far back and the inside gate may result in the jock having to ride for luck. Place chance at best. It looks a race in two between the one and three.
Race 7: Coongy Cup 2000m
TRAP FOR FOOLS (3) was beaten less than 2 lengths by Winx last start, she had been racing well previously except for one start where she uncharacteristically didn’t roll forward. She will be the leader for a long way.
Dangers:
SIXTIES GROOVE (6) was very consistent when last in work, she had every chance when resuming off a short break but did lay in and will improve off that run. BEST OF DAYS (7) had his chance here in the lead-up three weeks ago, he continued to run on through the line and looks suited getting out in trip. SIR CHARLES ROAD (5) was good in a harder race last time, he is a Sydney Cup placegetter so the trip won’t be an issue.
Race 8: Caulfield Cup 2400m
Tough race! BEST SOLUTION (1) is a Gdolphin runner having his first run here. It has been 6 weeks since he has faced the starter, he won a Group Two in England before consecutive Group One wins in Germany. The draw is a worry but he obviously has the class.
Dangers:
YOUNGSTAR (18) was enormous at Flemington a fortnight ago, only beaten a length by Winx she put the writing on the wall for this the way she ran through the line. THE CLIFFSOFMOHER (2) wasn’t beaten far in his Australian debut, worked home nicely and will have taken great benefit form that run. KING’S WILL DREAM (14) has been the rave horse all Spring and this looks to have been the goal all along. There have been huge runs throughout this campaign, but has he just lost the will to win? How will the internationals measure up? Intriguing race.
Race 9: Tristarc Stakes Mares 1400m
INVINCIBELLA (3) is having her first look here at the Caulfield track, she has won two of three this prep and had absolutely no luck in the other. She charged through the line at Flemington and with the right cart into it here they won’t be able to hold her out.
Dangers:
SAVATIANO (11) comes through that same race as the top pick, she had no luck getting clear when the runs were coming and only saw daylight late. She balanced up and ran through the line well. INVINCIBLE GEM (4) wasn’t beaten far by a couple that have since gone on to the Everest last time, her second-up form isn’t great but that form line reads great back in mares grade. ELLICAZOOM (9) will also be running on from the back, she always races well here. Her first-up win was amazing. The danger here is that most of the chances appear to be run-on types, maybe a change of tactics will bring rewards for a jock brave enough to do so?
Race 10: Moonga Stakes 1400m
PEACEFUL STATE (5) should be nearing peak fitness here third-up. He was terrific at the Valley fresh when running on hard, then went to the big Group One Sir Rupert Clarke and was stuck wide on the speed in a much harder race, tiring late but was entitled to in a race that was set-up for the swoopers. This looks a much easier assignment.
Dangers:
DREAMFORCE (2) is second-up, he does race best at the front-end of his campaigns. He had his chance fresh in a harder race than this and gets the soft run from the inside alley. TOM MELBOURNE (7) well, we all know about him, rarely a winner but also equally is it rare that he runs a bad race. He will go forward from the wide draw but looks a place chance at best. MR SNEAKY (8) was also good in the Rupert Clarke, he ran on hard but was entitled to the way the race was run.