December 30, 2024
Tips

Morphettville (Sat)

Morphettville

Morphettville Tips, Saturday Nov 24

BEST BET Race 4 no 3 Mystified

Race 4 no 3 MYSTIFIED

Most consistent Ryan Balfour trained mare that has again been far from disgraced in her two runs back this time in, finishing runner-up behind the flying Rewarding Laughter on each occasion. Expect her to now be close to peak fitness whilst also remembering third-up last campaign this mare was beaten just 3.3L behind Shoals in the Group One UBet Classic!! That obviously reads huge for this much easier assignment yet still gets in terrific down on the minimum. Maps ideally sitting just off fast tempo up-front….reckon she is the days best bet at the current $3.20!

BET: WIN
ODDS $3.20 @ UniBet, Bet365

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Race 5 No 7 FRANCE’S BOY

Despite letting us down when we fancied him first-up, still thought there was plenty to take out of this blokes effort despite just missing the placings. The way the race was run he simply had no chance after getting back further than expected, however to get within 1.5L of the winner should have had followers reaching for their blackbooks! Given there doesn’t appear to be much in the way of pressure early, expect he will settle a lot closer just off leaders, mapping to enjoy the ideal trail. Now that he gets in with the luxurious weight of just 52.5kg after the claim expect he will take a ton of holding out, especially given his solid second-up record. Although not big overs still more than happy to invest at the opening $4.

BET: WIN
ODDS $4.0 @ BetEasy, UniBet

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Race 6 No 3 ROYAL RUMBLE

Find it most interesting Stable have elected to resume this more than handy galloper over 1400m suggesting they have been pouring in the work into him. Admittedly better suited over more ground however remembering this bloke was only beaten 2.9L in a much tougher Listed race when resuming last campaign which should provide followers with plenty of confidence! Also more than happy to suggest he is better than these on best form! Given there looks to be at least a genuine tempo and with the smallish field also working in his favour expect this bloke to run a terrific race whilst fresh. Watch for him to be charging late with the current $8.50 appearing as most generous!

BET: EACH-WAY
ODDS $8.50 @ Sportsbet

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Race 7 No 1 GROOVE WITH ME

Concede this relatively lightly raced eight year old doesn’t win out of turn however does appear to again be very well placed. Maps to either lead or at the very least be right there in a race with very little obvious pressure. Concede the favourite Jawwaal ($2.80) should be hard to beat however also must be noted is also only straight out of maiden grade! If Groove With Me can reproduce his last start rating suggest he will be very hard to run down and expect him to give supporters a big sight at the current $8.50.

BET: EACH-WAY
ODDS $8.50 @ Ladbrokes, BetEasy, Neds, UniBet, TopBetta, BetStar

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Race 8 No 7 PICTURE ME ROLLING

Relatively lightly raced Jake Stephens trained five year old mare that finished off her last campaign in fine style recording three straight wins before being tipped out for lengthy ten month spell. Looks to have again returned in fine style and thought there was a lot about this mares second-up run when taking good late ground off all the way winner last start. Surely only strips fitter again here third-up and although awkwardly drawn, expect that to be negated by a more positive ride, hence reckon she can slot in handy just off the pace. Gets in terrific down on the minimum after the claim against what just appears a very moderate line-up…..pretty keen we can finish off the day in fine style with the opening $4.40 certainly appealing!

BET: WIN
ODDS $4.40 @ BetEasy, Neds, UniBet

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