May 15, 2024
Tips

Moonee Valley (Sat)

Caulfield

Moonee Valley Racing Tips

Track: Good 4. Rail: True.

Best Bet: Race 5 – Jamaican Rain

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Race 1: 2YO Fillies Handicap 1200m

ANJANA (1) couldn’t have been more impressive at her latest win, she got a nice run but the authority and margin by which she put them away was unbelievable. Sure, there are question marks that both her wins have bene on rain affected tracks, but she looks the real deal.

Dangers:

KOBE PRINCESS (6) has a great turn-of-foot, placing at all three career runs she has run through the line well. She may be giving them a start here but look for her late if the speed is on. GOLDIFOX (10) is still a maiden but was good from the back in e Magic Millions in SA. EMBRACE ME (2) was a dominant winner in an easier Werribee maiden, she will try and lead all the way.

Race 2: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 1200m

WILLIAM THOMAS (1) has a terrific overall record, he has not missed a pace in any of his five career starts. BEL SONIC (2) looks the main danger after narrowly missing last time and was a winner second-up last campaign. KING’S AUTHORITY (4) was well supported last time when narrowly going down and I AM SOMEONE (6) will find this harder but hard to go past his impressive strike rate at this stage of his career. Should be a good form race going forward.

Race 3: Mares Handicap 1200m

MOONLITES CHOICE (7) has been off the scene for 45 weeks, she was good before going to the paddock and has trialed well. Likely to be giving them a start here fresh but she has a great record when resuming.

Dangers:

MAMZELLE TESS (6) went to SA last time out in Group 2 company and wasn’t disgraced. She had a good cart into it but just found a couple better. This looks more suitable. DIVINE QUALITY (5) was super up the straight last time when running on hard. This is her first time here which is a little concerning but look for her late. CREATIVITY (3) also comes through that black type race in Adelaide where she led them up for a long way, she will go forward here as well and prove hard to run down in an open race.

Race 4: BM78 Handicap 1000m

Capacity field and they will fly here over the 1000m. Some horses drawn poorly will have to endure a torrid trip. YOU’VE BEEN HAD (3) is only a lightly raced 5YO but has an impressive record, he is versatile in where he can map but just hard to see him getting an easy run form the draw. He may just be too good. Had he drawn better he would have been the best of good things.

Dangers:

BELWAZI (4) is drawn well for her return to the track and has trialed well, she is a winner here previously and should be one of the leaders. MURPHY’S REWARD (1) is dropping in class but has to overcome the wide draw and SAM’S IMAGE (7) is also drawn horribly and will need luck. He has speed and was a winner at huge odds last time in a restricted race.

Race 5: Fillies and Mares BM84 Handicap 1500m

JAMAICAN RAIN (4) is headed for bigger races than this so you would want her to be winning with authority here. Her win resuming was outstanding, she maps well again and with her brilliant turn-of-foot it would seem only bad luck will stop her here. Anything in the black looks a gift.

Dangers:

There doesn’t appear to be any. HECTOPASCAL (2) won an easier race last time, TYPHOON JOLIE (1) was ok up the straight last time and SINGLE NOTE (5) is a last start winner, but they all appear to be running for the minor prize.

Race 6: Handicap 1600m

Tough start to the Quaddie with a very open race so play wide. MAGIC CONSOL (10) was good last time and is racing consistently, he was a little unlucky and the runner-up from that race has since come out and bolted in. RAW IMPULSE (7) went to SA last start and raced well although he did have every chance. This look easier than that race. You know what you will get with JACQUINOT BAY (4), he will roll forward the old fella and try and lead all the way. AKAVOROUN (2) has a great overall record and will also push forward. The speed could be on here so anything could happen late.

Race 7: Handicap 2040m

The second leg of the Quaddie looks even harder than the first! MY NORDIC HERO (11) goes on top for Waller, he was good stepping up in class at Flemington last time after having a torrid wide run, mostly without cover. He has not been here before and looks a little risky from the draw, but they should be riding him positively.

Dangers:

MAGNAPAL (10) was huge odds at the Bool in the Cup but ran a nice race when probably in the worst part of the track. GREY LION (7) has had a 7-week freshen up, he was ok fresh but had excuses in the run. He has won second-up previously. OBSERVATIONAL (6) was beaten a long way last time by the impressive reigning Caulfield Cup champ, he never got into the race and only got going late. That form line may stack up as he is flying the winner.

Race 8: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 1600m

ICONOCLASM (1) is a star of the future, if not now. He has won five of his seven starts, the last couple at Flemington have been top shelf after having to work. He has yet to race here around the Valley but if gets cover he should be rounding them up off the bend and running away late.

Dangers:

GAULOIS (3) is a Godolphin runner that comes through a different form line from most of these, he was good in his last two in Sydney since resuming. That NSW form may hold up here. FREE FLY TOO (6) was beaten on his merits by the favourite last time, but he looks better suited around here out in front rather than the bogger track at Flemington. ANDAZ (7) will get back but if he can get the back of the right horse on the run home he will finish hard.

Race 9: BM90 1200m

WISE HERO (10) was terrific when resuming, he was backed as if there was no settling and after copping pressure up near the lead, stuck on well in what was not the best part of the track. He has won second-up previously and maps beautifully. Looks one of the bets of the day.

Dangers:

INN KEEPER (9) looks the main danger but happy to risk him from the horrible draw. He has a terrific overall record and his last two wins have been full of merit, but just looks too tough of an ask from the wide alley. PROUD WOLF (7) finished well last time and maps well again here and LEODORO (6) looks the next best, he will get back and may need some luck getting through the traffic late in the big field.

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