Morphettville Tips, Saturday 9th June
Morphettville tips for Saturday racing
BBEST Race 3 no 3 BAD WOLF
Morphettville – Saturday, 9 June 2018
Track: Good. Weather: Overcast (). Rail: +8m 1000m-WP, +6m the Remainder. Sectional 610m
Assessed for: –
Race 1 – Stoyanoff is a Handbrake / SABOIS Three-Year-Old Maiden Plate – Maiden – 1000 – 11:57
Top Pick: Factual (9)
Danger: Brybeck (1)
Each-way: That’s Two Slabs (4)
Multi: Volum (6), Duchess Grace (8), Annifrid (7), Good Nic (10)
Race Comment: Loved the trial of Factual ($5) !! Brybeck wasn’t too bad either yet has opened $18!
Betting Confidence: 80%
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Race 2 – Terry Howe Printing Handicap – Open – 1250 – 12:32
Top Pick: Unfair Dismissal (1)
Danger: Burn Off (10)
Trifecta: Poised to Strike (2)
Multi: Ice Ghost (7), Khanion Bay (11), Yucatan (3), St Georges Vaults (8)
Race Comment: Expect Unfair Dismissal ($3.60) to be very hard to beat in this….we actually have him marked at $3 (value!) May also be at least saving on Burn Off ($8).
Betting Confidence: 85%
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Race 3 – UBET Handicap – BenchMark 70 – 1300 – 01:12
Top Pick: Bad Wolf (3)
Danger: Diamond Tycoon (2)
Trifecta: Boomer Beach (5)
Multi: Coaches Award (4), Aspect (1), Fulton Street (9), Lord Rosenthal (8)
Race Comment: Tipping Bad Wolf ($4) has the necessary improvement to turn the tables here on Diamond Tycoon ($2.60). In fact will certainly be willing to have a good bet at the current odds….betting up in what we perceive to be as close to a two horse race.
Betting Confidence: 85%
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Race 4 – Medallion Homes Handicap – BenchMark 75 – 1300 – 01:52
Top Pick: Devilishly (7)
Danger: Hussy’s Glow (6)
Trifecta: Embecee Lil (5)
Multi: Save Me Ned (2), Optimize (1), Beautiful Flyer (4), Ample On Offa (3)
Race Comment: Tough/open race however tipping Devilishly ($5.50) to again be right in the finish. Hussys Glow ($7) & Embecee Lil ($4.60) next best however warn this is a race where most runners have at least some claims. Monitor betting however we recommend just going lightly here.
Betting Confidence: 70%
Race 5 – Darley Handicap (Amended Conditions) – BenchMark 86 – 1950 – 02:32
Top Pick: Royal Rumble (3)
Danger: Bertwhistle (6)
Each-way: Lady Silhouette (8)
Multi: Gracena (7), Temps Voleur (5), Mail It In (1), Survived (4)
Tip Comment: Royal Rumble racing as though he is now looking for this extra trip. This also easier than recent assignments whilst best form also reads very strong for this. Quick back-up another added bonus…expected sharp improver given track is good! Bertwhistle much improved galloper racing in clear career best form. Last start effort when just missing placings against Listed company obviously a great example of how well he is going-big danger! Lady Silhouette & Gracena also have solid e/way claims.
Race Comment: Tipping Royal Rumble at the big value odds of $11. Obviously far from a good thing however also more than capable of improving sharply & is more than capable of shaking the life out of this at big odds. Bertwhistle ($2.60) the obvious danger however is also very well found. Also respecting Lady Silhouette ($8).
Betting Confidence: 70%
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Race 6 – Evright Handicap – BenchMark 86 – 1250 – 03:12
Top Pick: Mystified (7)
Danger: Set to Sparkle (6)
Trifecta: Go the Journey (1)
Multi: Disgraceful (9), Arkham Knight (3), So You Too (2), Nipperkin (5)
Tip Comment: Mystified has been far from disgraced in recent much tougher Group races including finishing just 3.3L behind Shoals brilliant G1 UBet Classic win. Drops sharply in grade yet appears to get in amazingly well down on the min. Ideally placed to secure much deserved/overdue win. Set to Sparkle last start failure was simply too bad to be true when starting well in market against G3 company. Shapes as the big improver! Go the Journey expected leader capable of giving another big sight.
Race Comment: Good little race however suggest Mystified ($7) represents terrific e/way value. Set to Sparkle ($3.40) the obvious big danger however currently no value. Also respecting Go the Journey ($5.50), Disgraceful ($6.50) & Arkham Knight ($6).
Betting Confidence: 80%
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Race 7 – Adelaide Galvanising Handicap – BenchMark 75 – 1000 – 03:52
Top Pick: Stragun (2)
Danger: Magnus Knight (1)
Value: Barood (8)
Multi: Removal (4), Invisible Girl (9), Streetcar Illusion (6), Oamaru Owl (3)
Tip Comment: Stragun absolutely flying!! Given just even luck could very easily have won 4/6 this prep. So game when going down narrowly last start after again being forced to cover ground t’out. Drawn to get his chance & doesn’t need to improve to win! Magnus Knight thought this bloke was terrific when charging hard late against tempo when placing 1st-up. Maps to settle a lot closer from ideal rails draw whilst also expected to strip much improved. Barood capable of producing a big run here fresh at odds.
Race Comment: Siding ever so slightly with Stragun ($5) however we will also definitely be investing on Magnus Knight ($9.50) & Barood ($12) who we also perceive as being definite value.
Betting Confidence: 80%
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Race 8 – Fleurieu Milk Company Handicap – BenchMark 64 – 1400 – 04:30
Top Pick: Mintha (12)
Danger: Lord Smedley (3)
Trifecta: France’s Boy (10)
Multi: Redeem Bounty (4), Spiritof Endeavour (2), Dollar Dollar Bill (11), Borris in Ossory (8)
Tip Comment: Mintha dual Black-type placed filly that was given an easy kill when securing much deserved maiden win last start when bolting in by an ever extending 9.6L! Although this tougher suggest she is still well placed in this just moderate BM64 affair & given just even luck tipping her a good thing again!! Lord Smedley honest type rarely too far away in his races. Importantly maps to enjoy the run of the race! France’s Boy far from disgraced just last week after enduring tough run-better drawn here.
Race Comment: Tipping Mintha ($1.70) clearly on top however must be said has been incredibly well found early. We personally won’t be investing with the only interest being in the quaddie with Lord Smedley($10), Frances Boy ($15) & Redeem Bounty ($19) being the value runners.
Betting Confidence: 90%