Morphettville Tips, Saturday June 23
Morphettville tips for Saturday racing
BEST Race 2 no 4 POISED TO STRIKE
Race 6 no 4 STRYKINGLEE
Race 7 no 7 MORVADA
Morphettville – Saturday, 23 June 2018
Track: Soft 6 Updated 20/6 – 9:05am. Weather: Overcast (). Rail: Out 2 metres Entire. Sectional 602m. Main Track 15m 1200 to WP, 6m Remainder, Sectional 620m
Assessed for: – Soft
Race 1 – Irish Race Day – 1st September at Morphettville Hurdle – Open – 3200 – 11:56
Top Pick: Cougar Express (5)
Danger: Urban Explorer (2)
Trifecta: Honey Steel’s Gold (1)
Multi: About the Journey (3), Mystic Prince (4), Cable Bay (6), Tunes (8)
Race Comment: Hurdle race….quite simply one we will watch from the bar and enjoy the spectacle that jumps racing provides….no betting!
Betting Confidence: 0%
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Race 2 – M&J Chickens Handicap – Open – 1250 – 12:31
Top Pick: Poised to Strike (4)
Only Danger: Unfair Dismissal (1)
Trifecta: Juanito Uvez (2)
Multi: Burn Off (6), Social Spin (3), City Beats (5), Easy Tiger (8)
Race Comment: Genuine two horse race with Poised To Strike($2.75) and Unfair Dismissal($2.75) rated as the only two chances. In saying that we are all over Poised To Strike to turn the tables on Unfair Dismissal. Loved his debut run and expect him to have taken plenty of benefit for having had the experience…..best bet!!
Betting Confidence: 90%
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Race 3 – Medallion Homes Three-Year-Old Maiden Plate – Maiden – 1000 – 01:06
Top Pick: Factual (8)
Danger: Master Chum (3)
Trifecta: Artie Stoker (1)
Multi: Bohemian Forest (6), Wine Dance (11), Blazing Bullet (2), Zagato Star (12)
Race Comment: Maiden race with very little exposed form. Of the raced brigade Factual($2.10) looks clearly the one to beat however has also been priced accordingly. Suggest this will be another race at this stage we may just be looking and observing.
Betting Confidence: 50%
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Race 4 – See the Magic of Matt Tarrant at Morphettville Handicap – BenchMark 86 – 1250 – 01:46
Top Pick; Exalted Adam (3)
Danger; Stragun (7)
Trifecta: So You Too (1)
Multi: Magnus Knight (4), Aspect (5), He’s a Moral (6), France’s Boy (8)
Race Comment: Must say there is very little in the way of value at the early prices with very little separating most of the top chances. Tipping Exalted Adam($3.20) on top however couldn’t possibly touch at less than $4. So You Too($4) is another with strong claims however we have marked at closer to $5. Possibly Stragun($5.50) is the one we could lean intol early whilst Magnus Knight($9) is another worth considering at odds…..monitor betting!
Betting Confidence: 70%
Race 5 – Dominant Handicap – BenchMark 86 – 1000 – 02:26
Top Pick: Removal (7)
Danger: White Kaps (10)
Each-way: Riziz (2)
Multi: Invincible Al (3), Streetcar Illusion (8), Del Piero (6), Invisible Girl (9)
Tip Comment: Removal has been close-up & confident in stating is ready to win having had the 4 runs back this time in. Very much at home on wet track whilst also finally drawn to enjoy perfect run dropping back down on the min. White Kaps speedy type that also drops a massive 7kg here after claim. Impossible to ignore the fact all 3 previous wins have come here around Parks circuit-expected to give another big sight! Riziz comes off a total forgive run & shapes as the likely sharp improver dropping in grade.
Race Comment: Reckon Removal($5) is bursting to break through and certainly more than happy at the opening $5….definitely betting!! Respecting White Kaps ($5) and certainly wouldn’t talk anyone out of at least a saver wager whilst Riziz ($19) also wouldn’t entirely shock and is also big value!
Betting Confidence: 80%
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Race 6 – Gusto’s 40th Birthday Handicap – BenchMark 75 – 1250 – 03:06
Top Pick: Strykinglee (4)
Danger: Embecee Lil (2)
Value: Autumn Street (6)
Multi: Federosa (3), Ample On Offa (1), Too Tuff Tara (12), Night Queen (11)
Tip Comment: Strykinglee honest Vic visitor that is rarely too far away in her races. Having said that has been now nearly twelve months without a win however reckon she has found the ideal race here & wont get too many better opportunities to break through. Peaks for this, gets race run to suit & loves it wet! Embecee Lil produced a lovely return when resuming. Surely only strips fitter & shapes as the clear danger! Autumn Street races well fresh & absolutely relishes any sting out of the ground-value!
Race Comment: Pretty keen Strykinglee($4.20) is very well placed to run a big race here. Admittedly finding it hard to win hence why we expect Stable have brought her over to SA where she has found a most suitable race. Ticks a lot of boxes and also keen to invest at the current $4.20. Embecee Lil($3.80) the clear danger however would want closer to $4.50 before having a saver wager. Autumn Street ($11) and Federosa ($8.50) the other chances.
Betting Confidence: 80%
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Race 7 – UBET Handicap – BenchMark 86 – 1550 – 03:46
Top Pick: Morvada (7)
Danger: Little Akie (8)
Each-way: Siga La Vaca (10)
Multi: Victory Downs (4), Tried And Tired (3), Royal Rumble (5), Brown Ben (2)
Tip Comment: Morvada comes into this off a long overdue win when finally able to recapture something like his best, appreciating drop in grade when simply too strong for rivals last start. Expect he would have derived plenty of confidence from that & this seriously not much tougher-go well again! Little Akie evergreen rising 11yo that was terrific when resuming behind Morvada. Strips fitter & must be respected again. Siga La Vaca actually hasn’t been too far away in some tougher races of late-respecting!
Race Comment: Expect Morvada($5) to be able to cross and sit up on what doesn’t appear to be a race with much pressure up front and give supporters a great on-pace sight at what appears nice overs. Hoping his last start win was the sign of better things to come…..wouldnt at all surprise to see this bloke now string a couple of wins together! Having said that must also have something on Little Akie($11) and also Siga La Vaca($8.50).
Betting Confidence: 80%
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Race 8 – Schweppes Handicap – BenchMark 70 – 1400 – 04:25
Top Pick: Via Balciano (9)
Danger: Pakaya Prince (3)
Trifecta: Lord Smedley (8)
Multi: Sandhill Warrior (4), Federal Court (5), Dances On Stars (7), Blacktein (10)
Tip Comment: Via Balciano now bursting to break through again having had the three more than solid runs back since resuming. Surely now close to peaking for this slightly easier assignment. Wide draw by this time of the day also a likely advantage-only needs even luck to give this a big shake! Pakaya Prince Vic visitor that relished the going when scoring comfortably last start. Gets conditions to suit & expected to give another big sight. Lord Smedley honest type that again maps ideally-solid e/way claims!
Race Comment: Pretty confident one can narrow this down to just the four chances. Siding with Via Balciano ($3.20) however is another of our top picks that appears well found….will be betting is gets out closer to $4. At the prices would much prefer to be on Pakaya Prince ($7.50) each way at this stages….should give a big on-pace sight! Lord Smedley ($5.50) another worth respecting however also rates closer to $7 in our books. Sandhill Warrior ($23) clear best roughie….especially given further rain!
Betting Confidence: 80%