Moonee Valley Racing Tips
Track: Soft 6. Rail: Out 7m entire circuit.
Best Bet: Race 4 – THUNDER CLOUD
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Race 1: 2YO Fillies Handicap 1200m
SUNRISE DANCER (3) has been placed at both her career runs, she has chased solidly both times and been running through the line well. She was wide after being on the speed last time but didn’t shirk the task, has the benefit of that one run here and should be hard to beat if she gets any cover.
Dangers:
LA PARVA (1) was a winner on the speed on debut then wasn’t beaten far at start two in a Blue Diamond Prelude. She was sent to the paddock straight after that and hasn’t trialed officially. She obviously has the talent. DARMASUN (2) comes through the same race as the top selection and actually hit the line better, but she will get back again. She will need everything to go right. SUBICAN (7) was ok on debut for the Hayes/Dabernig team, she may improve off that run but this is harder.
Race 2: 3YO BM64 Handicap 1000m
RODDANDTODD (2) resumed in a harder race up the straight, stuck on well on what may have been the worst part of the track. There has already been a subsequent winner out of that race, a previous winner here he will push forward and try to lead all the way.
Dangers:
If the emergencies get a start, THE LAUNCHER (13) stays under notice. He was a good winner on debut before having excuses at start two. He has trialed quietly, and no doubt would have improved in his time off for the Weir yard. MUTUAL RESPECT (11) will also need scratching’s to get a start, he won on debut and then was good when narrowly beaten and heavily backed last start. BEAUTIFUL BEE (9) is coming to the races for a new trainer, showed promise at her first campaign and stays under notice.
Race 3: Fillies and Mares BM78 Handicap 2040m
GROOVIN’ (5) is a mare that has not been here before but her pattern of racing up on the speed should see her suited to the Valley. She will go forward, this is easier than last time back against her own sex.
Dangers:
SUMMER GLEN (6) has good speed but is drawn outside the top pick, she will go forward and try to lead. She will need to be the first across to the rail and looks a good lay if under each-way odds. ALMALITA (4) is also a front-runner that will be looking for the top spot, she may be better suited taking a sit here. LADY SELKIRK (2) handles the wet tracks well so if the rain sticks around and the track deteriorates she comes right into calculations.
Race 4: BM78 Handicap 2040m
THUNDER CLOUD (10) is in a rich vein of form, winning three of his last four and placing in the other, he has never been here which is a little concern. He usually needs everything to go right as he will get back and come with one run, the margins he has been winning by have been impressive. Looks the best of the day.
Dangers:
MIDAS MAN (9) will be in front of the main danger early, he has been up for a long time but seems to have regained the form of earlier in the prep. HARDEN (8) has trialed in between runs, he will find this harder than his last start win but will be up on the speed for a long way. BRIGADIER (7) handles the wet well enough, will roll forward and look for some interesting riding tactics on him.
Race 5: 3YO Fillies BM70 Handicap 1600m
MINTHA (3) was well backed at Flemington last time, she was suited by the way the race was run but was super impressive the way she charged through the line. She can settle closer than that and from the draw may need a little luck, expect her to be behind the leader and if she gets a split, will fly late.
Dangers:
ABSOLUTE HEAVEN (4) comes through that same race and did will to stick on up on the speed, the trouble here is the extreme draw. She is yet to win out of maiden grade but has never missed a place in a seven-start career. HARD FAITH (1) will be double figure odds, she maps beautifully to be just off the speed. She has won two in a row and although this is harder, winning form is good form. ABINGER (5) looks as though she will go through the grades easily enough, if she gets a good cart into it she looks perfectly suited here at the mile.
Race 6: Mares BM78 Handicap 1600m
HECTOPASCAL (1) has placed at her last couple here at the Valley, her last start effort was amazing after making a long-sustained run. She is drawn to get a good run in behind the leader, although she has been up for a while she is still racing well.
Dangers:
OPTIMIZE (4) is drawn wide, she has a stack of speed and will be trying to cross early. If she can find the top she will be hard to run down with any cheap sectionals through the middle parts of the race. LINGUIST (6) was easy in the betting late when beaten by the top pick last time, she looked to have a much better run in transit and looks a good lay if she is in the first couple in betting. MISS CLOONEY (7) also comes through that same form race, she had a good run in transit and had her chance, but she maps well again.
Race 7: BM84 Handicap 1000m
MURPHY’S REWARD (1) was good at his last start here, he is a former winner at the track and is drawn well. He will go forward and try and dictate where his main opponent will be in the run.
Dangers:
BELWAZI (7) is that main danger and will probably further back than the top weight, she can race closer as she showed at recent starts, but I just think the girl may be out ridden here. She is obviously the main danger and has a terrific strike rate. GIBBON (5) goes well, the wetter is the better for him. He has only missed a place once in six starts this time in. He will be giving them a start but look for him late. DANCE WITH FONTEIN (3) never had a chance here last time after being very wide, she is a three-time winner here at the track.
Race 8: BM70 Handicap 1200m
DEMOLITION (2) has only been here once, had no luck and actually bled. He was of the scene for the required period and is racing as good as ever since returning. He really hit the line hard last time at Sandown after not having much luck. With a three-wide cart into it he should be finishing best.
Dangers:
HARBOUR GREY (1) was super in a much harder race two back, then made good ground last time when getting well back. The draw hurts, but he will get back anyway and will need the pace to be on. NORDIC EMPIRE (4) looks the leader and is a multiple winner at the track, if he can get an easy lead he will be hard to beat, but he will need those cheap middle sectionals. EPIC MOMENT (7) was only fair resuming, he has a poor draw but has a great record when second-up and looks a real improver.
Race 9: BM70 Handicap 1200m
SEVEN YEAR REWARD (4) has not won this time in but has the speed to lead all the way. He looked like a world-beater at his first campaign, he has the talent just needs to put it all together.
Dangers:
INQUIRY (7) has good speed but will be up outside the leader, he has the talent but looks a great lay from out there if starting near the top of the market. The confidence is very high that he cannot sit outside Seven Year Reward and win. OBSCURA (9) will be giving them a start, his first start in Vic was good on the synthetic after having no luck. FLO JO SNIP (10) comes south for a new trainer after having more than a year on the sidelines, she has speed and has trialed well. Watch the betting with her for any confidence of her fitness levels.