Caulfield Racing Tips
Track: Good 4. Rail: True
Best Bet: Race 3 – PRIZED ICON
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Race 1: BM78 Handicap 1400m
It looks a dart job the first, if you find the winner you shouldn’t be losing for the day with the right money management! MURAAHIB (7) has won two in a row since resuming, both on the synthetic which is a little concerning, he maps perfectly to be up on the speed with cover. HOLBEIN (3) placed at his only run at the track, he sat behind the leader and got a rails run before getting run down late. He then came out and won a similar race at Geelong last time, has to be a chance again. ÉCLAIR CALLING (2) has placed at both runs here, he had every chance when runner-up at Listed level last time and will appreciate getting back in this grade. WAYANKA (9) looks the leader if he gets away nicely, that may be the spot with the rail in the true position. Tough race.
Race 2: Handicap 1400m
CLIFF’S EDGE (2) has had two runs back this prep and although he was well beaten on both occasions, he had excuses. He was a mile back after being checked early in a leader dominated race fresh, then went to Flemington and was held up for more than a furlong in the straight and lost all momentum. He has won three times around here so he should enjoy coming back here.
Dangers:
VIOLATE (4) was very impressive winning when resuming, the second horse in that race has come out and run a belter last start so the form line should hold up. His second-up record is not as impressive but look for him late. FEDERAL (5) is resuming off a long break, he gets the right draw for a soft run and was racing against better opposition than this when last in work. WAGING WAR (6) was very good in SA last time and is a perfect 1/1 at the track, he just missed second-up last campaign after having no luck.
Race 3: Inglis Cup 2000m
It has been a long run of outs for PRIZED ICON (1), but he looks well in this at the 58.5kg in a sales restricted race. He was ok in the Cameron at Newcastle last time, previous to that he hit the front in the straight and was run down by Unforgotten late, a mare that has a big season ahead. Not sure where he will get to in the run but he will be too classy.
Dangers:
NETTOYER (10) looks the only danger, if any. She has yet to win out of maiden grade but has certainly tackled the best opposition. She should be nearing peak fitness here third-up after a nice effort in the Tramway north of the border last time when she didn’t have much luck. OCTABELLO (7) and LEGALE (8) both come through the same form lines and look the next best, but appear to be running for place money only.
Race 4: Mares BM90 Handicap 1100m
If the first race wasn’t difficult enough, this looks even harder! IN GOOD TIME (9) comes south with a perfect record of 6/6, but gets the visitors draw out in 18! Hard to know how to line up the form, she has speed and will roll forward. Even though she is drawn out there, that may just mean a better price and if the track is playing favourably for those on the speed, she looks great value at the double figure odds.
Dangers:
SOOTHING (3) is a nother visitor down from Sydney drawn poorly, she is likely to go back from the draw and will have to navigate the big field. She has won her last three, two of them this prep and will run on hard. OUR CROWN MISTRESS (12) has plenty of question marks, she has only lost once and that was on debut but she has been off the scene a long time. Sure to be ready to go fresh as most are from this stable. MISS LEONIDAS (14) has a stack of speed but won’t want to cop any pressure early here first-up.
Race 5: Testa Rossa Stakes 1200m
KEMONO (1) has been super at both Australian runs since coming from Japan. He was never in the race first-up behind a leader dominated speedathon, then went to Flemington and ran on well but may have been in the worst part of the track to narrowly go down. He will get back but be storming home out wide.
Dangers:
TREKKING (7) looks the obvious danger coming down in weight from his last win in Sydney, this is harder and expect him to be easy in the betting. BRAVE SONG (6) has had a six-week let-up, he was super at his first look at the track last time running on hard. SO SI BON (4) has an OK record when fresh, resumes with a couple of good trials under his belt and aps to get an economical run.
Race 6: Caulfield Guineas Prelude 3YO C&G 1400m
DECLARATIONOFHEART (14) won his first two before charging home out wide at Flemington last time behind the impressive Brutal. No Brutal here, he maps to be midfield in the running line, if he gets the cart into it he will finish too strong.
Dangers:
GOOD ‘N’ FAST (4) comes through that same form line, he had no luck early in the straight before charging late with some healthy splits/sectionals. TAVISAN (11) has a stack of tactical speed, he looks the leader and his form since coming across the ditch has been super. He will be hard to run down. WAGNER (10) has made it back-to-back wins in Sydney, he looks suited steeping up in trip and loses nothing with Williams legging up.
Race 7: Thousand Guineas Prelude 3YO Fillies 1400m
SMART MELODY (3) is a perfect 4/4, she is the clear favourite for the big Grand Final in two weeks time and quite simply looks over the odds here. She has never been here to Caulfield which is a slight concern, her win up the straight was breathtaking and if she gets cover and a cart into it, she will win this.
Dangers:
SPANISH WHISPER (6) is on the seven-day back-up, she had a tough run here last week when wide, hit the lead momentarily before being run down but stuck on ok. MUSIC BAY (13) comes through the same race as the favourite, was runner-up but had every possible chance, only gets the 1.5kg turnaround here so hard to see her reversing the result. EL DORADO DREAMING (1) is a Group One winner last season as a 2YO, has trialed well and will be hitting the line hard from the back. She may just need the run but look for her in a fortnights time.
Race 8: Underwood Stakes WFA 1800m
HUMIDOR (2) was aided by a brilliant ride to win first-up then took an eternity to wind-up when racing a little flat last time. He was doing his best work through the line though, not a great success rate here at Caulfield but he should be rock hard fit now.
Dangers:
BLAIR HOUSE (7) is the most interesting runner of the day. From the Charlie Appleby stable, he has been gelded since he was racing well in Dubai. He hasn’t raced in six months but has a good fresh record and must be respected form this stable. GRUNT (9) will have his supporters, he destroyed a Group One field at HQ last time but has raced a little one paced at both starts here this campaign. Happy to risk him. HOMESMAN (8) showed that he has come back well when closing late last time. He gets the blinkers back on again here.
Race 9: Handicap 1700m
FURRION (10) will start as one of the shortest-priced favourites of the day, his only loss in 6 career starts did come here when runner-up to end his prep last time. His two wins have been super since resuming, this looks the perfect trip and will only need an ounce of luck getting away from the inside at the right time to win.
Dangers:
LIFE LESS ORDINARY (2) had no luck here a month ago, he was held-up for the majority of the straight and only got going late behind Night’s Watch. That looks good enough form to be a chance here. INTERLOCUTER (4) just looked to run out of condition when resuming, he has a good record (4:2-0-0) when racing second-up. BEST OF DAYS (8) has had three nice runs in NSW since arriving in OZ, he will get back and charge late.