Caulfield Racing Tips
Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 7m entire circuit.
Best Bet: Race 8 – MALAISE
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Race 1: Super VOBIS 2YO Handicap 1200m
TRILLI (8) was up on the speed when not beaten far on debut then had a perfect trailing draw last time when bolting in at Sandown. She showed a great turn-of-foot to dash to the front that day, she draws perfectly again here and can win again, this time against the boys.
Dangers:
Obviously with the babies there are a stack of unknowns and improvement in them. RUBAN BLEU (6) seemed to hit a flat spot on debut up the straight, it was encouraging the way he ran through the line though and gets his first go around a bend here. TONY NICCONI (7) stays under notice on debut for the Hayes/Hayes/Dabernig yard whilst EUGENE’S FOREST (4) can improve off his debut placing when not beaten far. The track was a bog that day and he gets back on top of the ground for the first time.
Race 2: BM78 Handicap 1600m
AL GALAYEL (3) was on debut in Australia last start after having more than six-months off, he had won his previous two in the UK before arriving on our shores. He wasn’t the best away but ran home strongly and was clearly doing the best on the line. He may need a little luck extricating away from the inside when the runs come but that win was impressive.
Dangers:
I BOOGI (2) was a good winner at Sandown last time when he settled closer in the run up on the speed. He has the wide draw, so the jockey will have some decisions to make early, but this race looks no harder. SPANNER HEAD (6) has been consistent this time in, just needs some cover in the run. MANTASTIC (8) is the other ex-overseas raider in the race, he had a good run in transit before running through the line hard at his Australian debut and that form line has stacked up well.
Race 3: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 2000m
BEA TEMPTED (7) is only a lightly raced 3YO, she has not missed a place in her four career starts. She was well backed last time in a race many of these came through, settled well back and ran through the line hard only beaten a length. She once again carries no weight, look for her late.
Dangers:
MASCULINO (1) was the winner of that race after settling wide with cover, he was strong through the line but maps poorly today and will need some luck. If he gets that cover again when making a run, he will be the one to beat again but just looks a good risk at the price. UNDER OATH (3) bolted in on the heavy track last time, this is harder, but he will be up on the speed for a long way. BORELLA (5) maps well but will find this harder than his last start win at Benalla. He should be sitting just off the leaders but may have to come wide when the runs come from the back, he won’t want to hit the front too early.
Race 4: 3YO Fillies Handicap 1100m
A capacity field will mean that there will be some hard-luck stories post-race, one that should be making her own luck is SUMMER SHAM (1). She won her first three before being outclassed in the Kewney when well in the market, she was sent to the paddock and draws perfectly for her return to racing. She has a stack of speed and will be trying to lead all the way.
Dangers:
DERASA (2) came across to the mainland with a very handy record in Tasmania last time, she wasn’t beaten far up the straight and if she hadn’t drawn the outside gate in the huge field she would have been at the top of the selections. JOSEPHINE SEA (5) has been strong through the line at both starts this time in, the latest victory was soft, and she will find this harder. MISS TOORAK FLYER (7) will be giving them a start but if the speed is on, look for her late. She has been good at her last couple.
Race 5: Mares BM90 Handicap 1200m
As usual with these mares races, the confidence is low. MAMZELLE TESS (6) was outclassed in SA last time but did well to place at Group Three level. She will more than likely be giving them a start but look for her late.
Dangers:
RILLITO (7) looks the obvious danger and will start favourite in the big field, she resumed after a year off last time and was most unlucky when narrowly beaten. She will need all the favours from the poor draw but has a great record second-up. MOONLOVER (4), liked the other more fancied runners is also drawn horribly, she will get back also but is so consistent. JUST HIFALUTIN (3) is a last start winner up the straight at Flemington, she should be just off the speed from the good draw.
Race 6: Handicap 1800m
PACODALI (1) ran on well on the bog track at Swan Hill in the Cup, he was first-up off a long break that day and shown that he has come back well. He has a good record second-up and gets out to a more preferable trip. Look for him late.
Dangers:
TRAP FOR FOOLS (4) was well beaten fresh after racing well in the open class staying events in Perth. He had a torrid run that day at the Valley, if he can get cover here he can return to that form which saw him win six in a row in the west. MY NORDIC HERO (6) is a last start winner at the Valley, he was beautifully ridden and found plenty when challenged. He maps to be up on the speed again. SIXTIES GROOVE (11) is another Weir runner that was well beaten last start but he had excuses, he was held-up at a vital stage getting shuffled well back. He ran through the line well late once he balanced up.
Race 7: Super VOBIS 3YO Handicap 1400m
STREET SHEIK (7) is yet to miss a place in his seven-start career, but he has also failed to win out of maiden grade. He missed the kick last start and got a mile back but worked home well, expect that he will settle closer here and be nard to run down. He will look the winner at some stage in the straight.
Dangers:
USAIN BOWLER (3) got his maiden win last time in a similar race, he was double figure odds that day and was perfectly ridden, I wouldn’t be rushing into anything shorter than about $6-$7 about him in what looks an open race. SNITZEPEG (1) was well beaten behind him last time and is drawn to get back again, but with the big field the speed could be on which would be to his advantage. RESERVE LANDING (9) is a last start winner on the synthetic, he sat up on the speed and absolutely bolted in.
Race 8: BM84 Handicap 1400m
MALAISE (3) was a good thing beaten last start, he had a similar draw when held-up for most of the straight at the Valley, he finally got the run along the rails and finished hard. He has an inside draw again and will need that luck at the vital time but should appreciate getting on the bigger track here. If the fence is not off he looks one of the bets of the day.
Dangers:
TOP ME UP (2) has only been going fairly this prep but that is not unusual for him. He worked to the line nicely when well beaten at Flemington and maps well. He looks a real improver. MR INDIVIDUAL (8) didn’t have a lot of room over the concluding stages when a close-up 3rd on the heavy track. He can improve back on top if the ground. SO POYSED (10) was ok resuming, but his record second-up is outstanding having won three from four. Expect there to be some good money for him.
Race 9: BM84 Handicap 1200m
Tough way to finish the Quaddie, if you are still alive you should hope that you have a stack of runners here. ASHLOR (1) is so consistent and you know what you are getting with him. He will jump well from the nice gate and try to lead all the way. If he gets any cheap sectionals through the middle, he will be hard to run down.
Dangers:
PRINCETON SPIRIT (7) will be the other horse looking for that top spot, he may have to sit outside the leader but if the track is favouring those on the speed, he can win from that position. KENNEDY (14) is an interesting runner that is resuming, he has trialed ok and his form in Sydney prior to going to the paddock was good. Watch the betting for any confidence in him coming south. HIGHLAND BEAT (8) did well to stick on so well off a tough wide run at the Valley, this looks no harder.