Bendigo Racing Tips
Track: Good 4. Rail: True.
Best Bet: Race 5 – LAYEL
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Race 1: Maiden Plate 1100m
THE RUNNING MAN (6) was only fair on debut in the Blue Diamond Prelude and featured in the steward’s report and was sent to the paddock immediately. He resumed at Pakenham and was well backed off a nice trial, held-up slightly at a vital stage then ran through the line nicely. Gets the extra 100m here and this doesn’t look a strong race.
Dangers:
SOLOMAN (5) comes through that same race at Pakenham, he attempted to lead all the way and although he was gunned down well before the line, he stuck on ok. WINNING PARTNER (7) is resuming, he was tackling much harder races than this when last in work and has had a very easy trial in preparation for this. Watch for any money for him fresh. KWOTT ROCKY (4) showed speed on debut and was gunned down inside the furlong. He will have to get across cheaply from the wide gate.
Race 2: Maiden Plate 1400m
SCIPIO (7) was good resuming when warming up late, then came here three weeks ago where he worked hard to get up ono the speed but was forced to race wide. He gets the blinkers for the first time and should be up on the speed for a long way.
Dangers:
SHAKE ON IT (8) had a nice run in transit when resuming, went for the run between runners but didn’t have a lot of room late and narrowly missed. He doesn’t map as well here but if he can get the cart into it he will be hard to hold out. SUBURBIA (9) was ok on debut and should appreciate the extra trip, JAWWAAL (5) has been runner-up at all three runs this time in, he maps well to be just off mid-field and should finish hard. I wouldn’t be taking less than each-way odds about him though.
Race 3: 3YO BM64 Handicap 1400m
3 last start winners of the 6 and it wouldn’t surprise if any one of the half dozen won this. MR GENOA (2) was a winner on debut and then sent straight out to the paddock, that win was in WA when up on the speed and comes to the D weir yard for the first time. If the money comes then the confidence will grow.
Dangers:
All of them. STILL INVINCIBLE (4) is a last start maiden winner when leading throughout, MASTERBRAX (5) maps better than his nice effort last start when wide and up on the speed. He stuck on well enough after a tough run. NO EMOTION (3) was a huge maiden winner last time after blowing the start, he knuckled before settling midfield and running on hard. He looks like he will get to a mile and further.
Race 4: BM64 Handicap 1100m
BOLEK (1) has only missed a place once in his career, that was on debut. He has a stack of speed, resumes after more than 6 months off today so look for any late money to indicate he is fit from the yard. If the on-speed runners are advantaged in the earlier races, he looks hard to beat.
Dangers:
BONTAZOLA (5) is resuming after being gelded, he was a winner at his only start, had the right run and found the gap nicely late to do best on the line. DENNIS (6) rarely runs a bad race, he will go forward but may have to sit outside the speed. WRECKING BALL (4) had no luck when resuming, he was held-up until the furlong pole and then ran through the line hard. He may need luck again here getting off the inside.
Race 5: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1100m
LAYEL (3) is resuming, she has a good record when racing fresh (2:1-1-0) and has won a trial recently. She was outclassed when last in work when punished by Nature Strip, she has speed and should be on the speed for a long way.
Dangers:
AS IT LIES (2) ran a nice race on the heavy track last time, she was the well supported favourite and started close enough to flip of the coin odds. She led and was run down, any rain around wouldn’t hurt her chances. WARRAGUL (5) was north of the border when resuming, she got well back and never got clear along the rails and was untested. She will improve off that no doubt. ULTRA SMART (8) was racing better opposition when last in work, she returned in this grade against the girls and ran ono hard to narrowly miss. She will be giving them a start but look for her late.
Race 6: BM78 Handicap 1100m
MATTY (3) was a 6/4 favourite in an easier race last time at Cranbourne, he raced up outside the leader and was too strong from the breeze winning comfortably. He looked like the extra trip of today should suit the way he ran through the line, if he can control the tempo, he will be hard to run down.
Dangers:
WON BALL (6) over-raced last time wide with cover, ran on well to score but a little worrying that he is coming back in trip here. He gets a soft run from the draw but will need to settle better. NARIKO (8) has been very consistent this time in, she is likely to be giving them a start but can run on well here on the big track. SISTER KITTY MAC (7) has a stack of speed and turned her form around last time with an all the way win. This is harder and she will need to cross to the rail first to win.
Race 7: BM70 Handicap 1300m
LUCK OF FRIENDSHIP (10) has had the two starts since coming south, the first he over raced badly and then went to Ballarat and was super up on the speed. He looks like he will only improve and if you can get double figures about him, he looks a great each-way bet.
Dangers:
MASTERING (6) is resuming, he has won fresh previously (on debut) but is likely to be giving them a big start. Look for him late if the pace is on. WOULDA THOUGHT SO (4) comes back in trip, he was resuming last start off a 2-month break when running on hard to score. Look for him late. LORD SUNDOWNER (2) has a good record when racing second-up as he is today, just a little concerning that he has not won a race in a year.
Race 8: Bendigo Cup 2400m
PATRICK ERIN (1) was third-up last time out when winning the Metropolitan in Sydney. He didn’t have a lot of luck in the run but when he got into clear running, he really mowed them down late. He looked at peak fitness that day and with a freshen up of 4 weeks in-between runs he should be ready to go again.
Dangers:
FURRION (6) will have plenty of support, he had won three in a row before his defeat in the Cranbourne Cup when starting in red figures. He wasn’t beaten far and did bump a couple of times in the run home, but he did look to have his chance. LORD FANDANGO (3) was second-up into the Herbert Power last time, he was fair in the run home behind the Melbourne Cup favourite and should be fitter now. DAL HARRAILD (2) also comes through the Herbert Power, that was his first run in Australia and he looked very plain but will have taken a lot from that run. He is better than that.
Race 9: BM70 Handicap 1600m
ESHTIRAAK (10) was runner-up here three weeks ago at his first look at the track, the winner that day has since come out and run some huge sectionals late on Cox Plate Day. He was never on the track that day and maps to get a very soft run. With any luck, hopefully he makes his own, he will be winning this.
Dangers:
BENNY GOES BERZERK (5) comes back from 78 grade where he chased gamely from last to place. He was never likely on that day but if he can settle closer and get the right cart into it, he will keep coming in the straight. TAN TAT TRUSTING (3) has been so consistent this time in, runner-up at his last couple but he has had his chances. He maps well again but just struggles to win. KOOLAMA BAY (7) looks next best but a place chance only.
Race 10: BM78 Handicap 1400m
An open race that should see you out a winner on the day if you find the winner. JAWS OF STEEL (3) was resuming at Moe last start when winding up late and doing his best work through the line. He has won 2/4 when racing second-up which he is today, maps to be a lot closer in the run and will be closing late.
Dangers:
SUPERHARD (7) has been very consistent this time in, he would have been a tragedy beaten had he not got there late last time after being held-up for a furlong. The extra furlong will suit and should be saved for one run. KAPAULENKO (1) usually takes a few runs to get going in his preps, will have taken plenty from the first-up run and gets the good claim. MONTASER (10) was never in the race and had no luck when resuming across the border, this is a little harder but he looks to have plenty of upside.