Moonee Valley Racing Tips
Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 7m entire circuit.
Best Bet: Race 3 – KAPLUMPICH
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Race 1: Maiden Plate 1533m
BE INSTANT (8) was resuming at the Bool last start, she was well back off almost half a year off the track and ran ono hard to narrowly miss. She gets the extra furlong and a bit here and with the blinkers off and visors on, she should settle closer and be running on the best late.
Dangers:
MELLORS (3) has been runner-up at all three runs this prep, two of those on the synthetic. He was back on the grass last tie at Wangaratta and was up on the speed, travelled a little wide but was entitle to win. He may just be a little camera shy and happy to take him on. KALLESKE (2) rarely runs a bad race and gets a few changes in gear, he should be up on the speed. THE SHUFFLER (5) has had enough chances but was most unlucky at his latest run when held-up for a furlong looking for inside runs, eventually getting it to run on hard and narrowly miss
Race 2: Fillies and Mares BM78 Handicap 1533m
OUR SEA GODDESS (2) had her first Australian start here a month ago, she was held-up a lot of the straight and never really got a crack at them before coming out at Geelong and leading all the way over 1400m. the step-up in trip is a little concern but she will give a sight up on the speed.
Dangers:
DUECOURSE (3) rarely runs a bad race and maps beautifully in behind the speed. This is her first go at the Valley. TUSKAR BROOK (4) should be in behind the leader, she is getting out to a more suitable trip here and should finish hard. OUR CHIQUILLA (6) will be giving them a start but looks suited by the small field and will finish hard.
Race 3: 3YO BM64 Handicap 1200m
KAPLUMPICH (2) won his maiden here two starts back when up on the speed, then went to Caulfield two weeks ago and was ok up on the speed at Listed level. He should be able to get the lead or outside the speed, he looks to have a stack of upside and a good thing back in this grade.
Dangers:
ZOUMANOR (1) was impressive on debut and strong through the line when winning at Mornington, then came here and was a little flat. He should improve off that first look at the track and may be better suited coming wider. JENTICO (4) comes off an impressive maiden win last time, she may be up outside the leader but looks to be above average. SHARK IN THE WATER (5) is also a last start maiden winner, the extra distance should suit as she was good through the line over 1100m.
Race 4: BM70 Handicap 2500m
Looks a race between the two Weir runners OCEAN WALZER (2) and TRULY HIGH (7). They are both very consistent, both have versatility and it may be best to wait and see which is backed late, that can be the best indicator with this yard. BARBIE’S BOY (4) chased hard last time in a similar race and looks suited getting up in trip. He doesn’t have a lot of brilliance but will keep grinding away. HIGH MODE (6) next best back from the Avoca Cup but no confidence in the race at all.
Race 5: BM70 Handicap 955m
RODDANDTODD (8) wasn’t beaten far when in behind the speed here a month ago. He maps beautifully again, drops in grade and with the big field, the speed should be right on as always and he will have the cold sit to pounce late.
Dangers:
DOMINATION (7) comes over from SA with the McEvoy yard, he has a stack of speed but the draw is a killer. He will likely be a big drifter in the betting. He would have been the top pick had he not drawn the carpark. OUR LUCA (4) goes well fresh, is very consistent and has trialed well enough. A GOOD YARN (1) has good tactical speed, he has won first-up but may have to sit wide throughout here.
Race 6: BM78 Handicap 2040m
FRIAR FOX (6) is having her third start since coming east for the Weir yard, She was beaten as a very short priced favourite in the WA Oaks before coming here, gets out to the 2000m for the first time since being here and should be hitting peak fitness. She ticks a lot of boxes.
Dangers:
SNIPFIT (7) comes back from an ordinary effort in the Moe Cup where he attempted to lead all the way. He will take up the same role again, but will need a couple of cheap sectionals. SILENT ROAR (11) comes right into calculations if she gets a start, not far away behind the impressive Shoko last time and is on the quick back-up. This is easier. HE EKSCELS (3) next best but is up in grade.
Race 7: BM64 Handicap 1200m
SCAPPARE (9) doesn’t win out of turn but is very consistent, she has only missed a place at one of six runs this time in. She maps perfectly to be just off the leaders, with the capacity field the speed should be genuine and she may just need a little luck when the runs come.
Dangers:
SIR KALAHAD (5) was a huge winner resuming when he was hunted up early to hold the front. Once he rolled along and kicked, he was strong through the line. JACKPOT JOHNNY (3) is a little enigmatic but does go well second-up. He has the bad draw to overcome but will get back anyway, if he gets the right horse to follow, he can finish hard. SASAYURI (4) was ok against the girls when resuming, she did have every chance but this looks easier and she gets the good claim.
Race 8: BM64 Handicap 1600m
D’AGUILAR (9) is a Weir runner that won on debut, he looked like he still had a stack to learn. A little question mark as that was a very heavy track, but he looks to have the ability and should be storming late.
Dangers:
Away from him it looks a very open affair and if that did just turn out to be wet track dominance, nothing would surprise. BIANAJEUNEY (8) resumed well at Cranbourne and didn’t have a lot of room late. She has placed 3/5 when racing second-up, she should be finishing hard. WITH A BIT OF DASH (7) gets in well with the claim, she has some tactical speed so expect her to go forward and look for cover. DUBAI KING (1) would have been near the top of the selections had he not drawn so wide, he was a solid last start winner when up on the speed.