Moonee Valley Racing Tips
Track: Good 4. Rail: True
Best Bet: Race 8 – RIGHT OR WRONG
=====
Race 1: 3YO C&G Plate 1200m
WALK THE TALK (8) won his maiden narrowly two starts ago, went to Wangaratta last time in an easier race than this and was absolutely dominant up outside the speed. He should roll forward again, although this is harder he looks to be an improving type at big odds.
Dangers:
RINGERDINGDING (7) is new to the Weir yard, he chased around some of the best of his age group in the land last start up in Sydney. He hasn’t won since debut but drops a stack in class. SUNSET WATCH (2) will be at the top of betting but looks a good risk, he is resuming and has speed but unless he leads he may find it too tough and probably needs the run. MIG ENERGY (4) next best, he drops in class and will push forward early.
Race 2: Stocks Stakes Mares WFA 1600m
Five of the seven runners and all the major players here came through the same race at Flemington a fortnight ago, SHEEZADASHING (5) had no luck when blocked for a run at a vital stage before driving hard to narrowly miss. She was fresh that day and the extra trip here really suits.
Dangers:
I AM A STAR (1) won that race at HQ, she was double figure odds and sat up on the speed to narrowly salute. She should roll forward again but looks a good risk at the likely short quote. SAMOVARE (3) was good late but never looked a winning chance, MISS GARDENIA (4) had a tough wide run and it told late, she had support that day.
Race 3: JRA Cup 2040m
TRAP FOR FOOLS (3) has won his last two, both here at the track after leading all the way. He will roll forward again, last start he kicked in the straight and was really strong through the line.
Dangers:
THE TAJ MAHAL (2) will most likely have the cold sit on the leader and has been ok in harder races than this at his first couple back in this prep. HARLEM (1) reeled off some fast sectionals late in the big Group One last time, he may need a little luck from the draw running on from the back. CHEQUERED FLAG (7) was only fair resuming but gets out to a more suitable trip here.
Race 4: BM84 Handicap 955m
The first of the 955m races for the night racing season, YOU’VE BEEN HAD (1) has a stack of speed and although he hasn’t been seen at the races for seven weeks, his last start win here was super. He had to sit outside the speed three-wide without cover and was still too strong through the line. He has won a trial in preparation for this.
Dangers:
GOLDFINCH (4) looks the main danger and really the only other winning hope. She has a stack of speed, went to Qld for her last win and now travels south but may have to sit outside the top selection. If there is no money for the topweight late and the on-track money isn’t there, get on Goldfinch. MILE HIGH (3) gets the perfect draw for a soft trip, he is a winner here at his only try around the Valley. AMADEUS (2) is first-up for almost six months, trialed quietly recently but does have a good record when racing fresh.
Race 5: Stutt Stakes 3YO 1600m
LEONARDO DA HINCHI (4) has yet to miss a place in his four career runs, he has placed his last two behind the brilliant Brutal after being up outside the leader. He looks like he will get the lead here and although the 1600m is new to him, if he gets it soft in front he should lead for a long way.
Dangers:
UNFAIR DISMISSAL (3) was ok last time and looks suited getting out to the mile, he didn’t show a lot of dash late but will keep grinding away. FAROOQ (5) gets the winkers back on, he will be giving them a start and if he can reproduce his win from two starts back he will be hard to hold out late. MUSWELLBROOK (2) has been good at both starts this campaign but will find this harder.
Race 6: Scarborough Stakes 3YO Fillies 1200m
HUMMA HUMMA (6) maps beautifully here, she has placed at all three since winning her maiden race fresh this prep. She should get the cold sit and may only need a little luck getting a split late if she doesn’t hook wide.
Dangers:
It looks a very open race on paper and the difference will be with those sitting up top. MERYL (3) has been racing well north of the border, she will roll forward and may just have to sit outside the leader to win. ENBIHAAR (1) was second in a Blue Diamond last season, her run resuming was solid and she was strong through the line. She will take improvement off that first look at the track. GOLDEN HALO (11) showed an unbelievable turn-of-foot coming from last in SA last time to win, just a little worried with her racing pattern and having her first look at the track.
Race 7: Moir Stakes WFA 1000m
NATURE STRIP (6) is the new track record holder after a brilliant front-running performance here last time. He is undefeated since joining the Weir stable, the map looks better for him here as he won’t have to run them along solo. He may have to sit outside the leader here as there is a stack of speed, that can be a good spot here and expect him to slingshot to the front at the top of the straight. He wins again.
Dangers:
BALL OF MUSCLE (3) is in career bets form, you know what you will get with him, he will jump and run. VIDDORA (7) is resuming, she will be giving them a start but if the speed is ridiculous up front which is every possible chance, look for her late. HOUTZEN (8) also broke the track record last start and was closing with every step, maps to get the soft run again and any luck getting a split at the top of the straight she will go close. What a race!
Race 8: BM90 Handicap 1200m
RIGHT OR WRONG (4) is third-up, was a winner this pattern last campaign and has been good at both runs this time in. He ran on hard fresh and then last time had no luck early in the straight up in Sydney before running on hard late.
Dangers:
It what looks an open race on paper, ISAURIAN (5) is likely to start favourite but looks a great lay. All three of his wins have come fresh as he was last time, he is likely to be up on the speed but expect him to drift during the week. MANUEL (6) rarely runs a bad race, has won second-up as he is today, will try and cross from the wide gate and find the front. CHOISBORDER (8) is a winner, this is obviously harder than his recent runs. He maps midfield and should run on hard.