Cranbourne Racing Tips
Track: Good 3. (Rain around though) Rail: Out 9m entire circuit
Best Bet: Race 7 – 4 I DID IT AGAIN
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Race 1: Maiden 1400m
ZOOLOGY (3) has been to the races 6 times and still yet to record a win, he was beaten at a ridiculously short quote fresh then had to sit three-wide without cover last time when only narrowly beaten. It’s not a matter of if but when with him.
Dangers:
SHARKBRIGHT (2) has shown that he has the versatility to either go forward or back, I suggest the latter will play out here from the extreme draw. He has placed at all four starts this campaign. NICCI BY NAME (6) will more than likely go forward from the wide draw, she may have more upside than a few of these. DARK CONFIDANT (13) was good against the girls last time, just hard to see where she is going to get to here from the extreme draw.
Race 2: 3YO Maiden Plate 1000m
BIONICS (1) was huge in defeat last time, he was heavily backed from double figure odds in, got a mile back before storming home in a maiden that looks like it could be a good form reference. He is likely to get back again from the wide draw but with the right cart into it, should be finishing best.
Dangers:
TYCOON TILY (11) was resuming in that same race at Echuca, she sat up on the speed and took the lead before her condition seemed to give way. She had every chance but with that run under her belt, she should be better for the run. RAINBOW GIRL (10) is resuming, she showed a stack of speed at her first two starts in races that were harder than this. She may be able to lead all the way fresh. ZOUMANOR (8) must be kept under notice on debut, he has been good enough in three public trials.
Race 3: Maiden 1000m
INTEGRATED (7) has been to the races 11 times so you could say that he has had enough chances, but he won’t be getting a better one than this. He has the good draw and should be able to lead, has placed at 2 from 4 when resuming previously and if the track is assisting those on the pace at all, he will be very hard to run down.
Dangers:
CRISTOVAO (3) will get back from the wide draw as he has done at both starts this time in, he was good fresh but raced a little flat second-up but looks a big improver with that run under his belt. AUSTELL BAY (2) is lining up for start number 6 at his first prep which is a little concerning, he has some tactical speed and they would have sent him to the paddock by now had ne hot been going well. ALLAGERI (1) will need everything to go right, he will get back and although there look to be better run-on chances, he can feature if he gets the race run to suit.
Race 4: BM64 Handicap 1000m
FIFTH AMENDMENT (9) was easy in the betting but couldn’t have been more impressive on debut. He jumped and ran, sped out to lead and was never in danger winning by a couple of lengths. This is obviously harder but if he can find the top again he will be hard to run down.
Dangers:
LAGERFELD (1) has been up for a long time but he gets a good claim and is versatile in where he can map. Likely to go back, he will be string through the line. ACCELERATO (7) was going well this prep before a seemingly disappointing run last time, forgive him that run as he was wide without cover for the majority, levelled up before tiring late. SHAMINO (11) has good speed and resumes off a decent trial. He was brilliant winning his debut at this track before going to the paddock.
Race 5: BM70 Handicap 2080m
THE THUG (2) was good winning an easier race last time when up on the speed. He usually rolls forward so expect that he will attempt to lead all the way again in what is not the strongest 70 we have seen.
Dangers:
METEOR LIGHT (5) will appreciate if the track gets a downgrade with this rain around, he doesn’t have a lot of brilliance but will keep grinding away. This is easier than his last assignment. RAKTI ROULETTE (8) was good winning on the bigger track at Ballarat last time in an easier race, he is also likely to be up on the speed and has shown that he can race outside the leader and win. BIG PATS PONTIAC (7) hasn’t shown much at his two starts this time in but does usually take a few runs to get going and is getting out to a more suitable trip.
Race 6: BM70 Handicap 1600m
CALIBRATION (5) is resuming and has not missed a place in three previous fresh runs, he has trialed well but is still yet to win since coming from overseas. He has a wide gate but has the tactical speed, especially fresh, to cross and control the race from outside the speed.
Dangers:
HIGH ‘N’ DRY (6) was good resuming, he was running on well before not getting much room late. He is still not to win out of maiden grade but that first win did come when second-up, as he is today. MELBA’S MAESTRO (3) has been good at all three runs this time in, he made the transition from synthetic track racing well last time and although he will be giving them a start, will be finishing hard. RESERVE STREET (1) has only had the one bad run this time in but that was in a much tougher race behind some smart ones, that has proven to be a good formline going forward.
Race 7: BM70 1200m Handicap
I DID IT AGAIN (4) was racing much tougher opposition when last in work in black type races, he has speed which he didn’t show a lot of when racing fresh. He was forced to sit four-wide without cover, came even wider on the turn and still wasn’t beaten far, expect him to roll forward and lead all the way, he looks the best of the day.
Dangers:
None in my book. Expect him to be well backed and start well into the red. NORDIC EMPIRE (1) may run a race at nice odds back in this grade with the good claim, if he can get back to the form he was in earlier in the campaign he will run a place. INDERNILE (7) will get back and get a soft run, if he is ridden for luck he can run on into a place but he will be giving the good thing of the day a big start. KYZAMBA (6) had no luck against the girls last time out across the border.
Race 8: BM64 Handicap 1300m
Well hopefully you went one out in the 2nd last leg of the Quaddie and are still alive as this looks a field job. AEROVICTORY (2) rarely runs a bad race but usually races better when early on in the prep, RAIZA FLAME (4) should get a good trip and try to lead all the way off the inside gate. BLOOD OATH (6) is coming off an impressive maiden win up on the speed and FORSURE (7) gets the horrible draw resuming but will find this a stack easier than his last race before going to the paddock. Play wide and hopefully you are not relying on this lottery to get you out for the day, although that shouldn’t be the case with the best of the day coming in the previous.