Ballarat Racing Tips
Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 7m 600-Winning Post. True the remainder.
Best Bet: Race 2 – OUR SUNNY GIRL
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Race 1: Maiden Plate 1000m
Obviously there is a stack of unknowns here and not much use wasting your time on this. The first-starters look to be the go, look for any money with ARDEEO (5), AMOR FATI (9) and SPEILBERG (8). The best of the raced brigade looks to be GEM ‘N’ US (2) who showed plenty of speed at her first three starts, she is resuming here so she may give them something to catch fresh. Too hard.
Race 2: Maiden Plate 1400m
Another race with plenty of unknowns but OUR SUNNY GIRL (12) has shown enough to go on top. She has placed in all three runs when running on hard from the back, hasn’t had a lot of luck and will be hitting the line hard again. The big track should suit her and she maps to get a soft run.
Dangers:
She looks a good thing barring any stars from the un-raced brigade. CANNUBI (11) must be respected from the Hayes/Hayes/Dabernig yard on debut, PREDICATED (10) has trialed fairly north of the border and now comes to the Weir yard and TIGER TRAP (6) showed improvement when resuming last start, he had no luck late in the straight and should have won.
Race 3: 3YO Maiden Plate 1600m
DESIGN ROUGE (3) will be on e of the shortest priced favourites of the day, the Ciaron Maher trained chestnut colt has not missed a place in three career starts, he has good tactical speed and will be up on the pace early. A little concerning that he has had his chances in all three runs, he has been costly for punters so far but can make amends here.
Dangers:
OPPOSITE (7) has the shocking gate to deal with but was good resuming then chased hard here at his first look at the track last time. HIGH BEAM (12) also gets an extreme draw, he had a throat issue when well beaten last time and looks a big improver from the Weir yard. PARIS SHOWGIRL (16) placed at her first two, she should have finished a lot closer last time also when getting checked at a vital stage. She maps to be a lot closer in the run.
Race 4: Class 1 Handicap 1600m
SCENIC SIGHT (10) was having her first go out of maiden grade last time across the border in SA, she was back in a race that favoured those up on the speed and kept working to the line nicely. Back here on the big track, she should be able to get a cart into it and get to the outside, charging late.
Dangers:
OCEAN CLASS (3) missed by the narrowest of margins at this level last time after settling a lot closer than what he had been. Expect him to get further back from the wide gate but should be nearing peak fitness. THE REGIMENT (2) will start near the top of the market, he is also likely to get back but a change of tactics may be adopted with the lack of speed in the race and the good draw. SEBERATE (1) will settle closer, he hasn’t been going well this time in but gets a good claim and drops a stack in class.
Race 5: BM64 Handicap 2300m
PENTHOUSE PLAYBOY (5) is so consistent which is rare for a back-marker, but again he will probably be giving them a start and storming home late. He has only missed a place at 1 of his 8 career starts, the barrier is no concern as he will back near last early.
Dangers:
RAKTI ROULETTE (4) has the consistency badge next to his name also, he is likely to be closer in the run than the top selection but may hit the front too early. OCEAN WALZER (3) has won two in a row, he is into his sixth start this campaign and may need a little luck off the inside draw. SAN REMO (6) never got into the race last time at Sandown but was good through the line although never looked the winner.
Race 6: Fillies and Mares BM64 Handicap 1200m
As is standard with races that the girls are involved, it is as open as the Sydney heads. JUSTSIMMER (5) was there to win in a similar race last time and just looked to peak late. She is likely to push forward and try to get outside the leader.
Dangers:
Plenty of them if not all. OUR CHIQUILLA (3) has been up for a long time but is very consistent and can adapt to the draw by her ability to go back or forward. BLACK AND TAN (2) is resuming and may need further, she will be giving them a start but look for her late, she can sprint well fresh. MIA GEORGIA (1) is a last start winner on the synthetic, just needs to take that form to the grass.
Race 7: BM64 Handicap 1400m
MOET ROSE (13) was ok fresh, the comments from the jock post-race implied that she would appreciate getting out to this trip and onto the bigger track. She ran on hard second-up last campaign in a harder race, very easy in the betting fresh expect that to be a different story today.
Dangers:
GUIPURE (11) has been beaten under a length at her last couple, she will get a mile back as she did two back at this track when unlucky in the run home. Look for her late. HERMANITO (8) looked a little flat fresh after a big first campaign, he placed at his only other second-up run and should settle closer than when resuming. MY MOTHER SAYS (6) looks the leader, he has won two on the bounce when going wire to wire. This is harder but look to see how the track is playing earlier in the day.
Race 8: BM70 Handicap 1100m
If the start of the programme wasn’t hard enough, it doesn’t get any easier in the last leg of the Quaddie to finish things. Upwards of 5/1 the field expected, play wide in your exotic betting. ONEHUNDRED PERCENT (3) is a perfect 2/2 when resuming as he is today, was only beaten 4 lengths behind Nature Strip last campaign. MATTY (6) has to overcome the poor draw, they may just chance their hand and send him forward in a rush early and try and get outside the lead. PLUTOCRACY (7) has still not won since his debut run, consistent this time in he will be up on the speed for a long way. WON BALL (11) missed a place for the first time in his career last start when travelling to SA, just not sure where he will get to in the run and the jockey change is not ideal.