Caulfield Racing Tips
Best Bet: Race 1 – ONEIRA
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Race 1: 3YO Maiden Plate 1440m
ONEIRA (10) has been to the races on four occasions, placing at three of those, and the one where he officially ran 9th, she had absolutely no luck. She will roll forward from the wider gate, if she is able to control the speed from outside the leader, expect her to take over at the top of the straight and run away.
Dangers:
ROYAL PERFORMANCE (5) has only been to the racing once, that was as a very easy favourite at Hamilton a fortnight ago. He looked as though he still had a bit to learn, worked through the line nicely and won’t be a maiden for long. COUNTESS DE GALVEZ (7) comes back in trip, that may not be ideal as she was working to the line nicely last time over further. WHITEMORE (6) has had enough chances, this is start number nine in an attempt to break the duck. He has been super at both runs this prep, has speed, just a little worried that he may have to sit wide, as he is drawn out compared to the other on-pace horses.
Race 2: Maiden Plate 1440m
CROATION (6) showed very little at her first prep but the time in the paddock obviously did her a world of good. She went to Kyneton 12 days ago, was slowly away before saving ground, was held-up at a vital stage before balancing up and running on strongly late. She does have to take on the boys here but that was an impressive return.
Dangers:
SOMNIUM (9) has been to the races 11 times and is still a maiden, so it would be hard taking the 2/1 that is being offered up early. She was heavily backed resuming and ran on hard in a race that has had a subsequent winner come from, so expect that when her price gets out a little, they will back her again. CRYPTIC JEWEL (7) was only fair at the Valley resuming over the six furlongs, that’s not her go. She will be giving them a start but will keep grinding home. GRACIOUS GARCON (5) was ok on debut at Pakenham, can improve with the extra furlong and the blinkers on for the first time.
Race 3: Class 1 Handicap 1440m
SMURF CODY (7) is a last start maiden winner, we have since seen a subsequent winner also come from the race. She over-raced badly when restrained to mid-field, was held-up to the turn before dashiing to the line and winning comfortably, losing a plate along the way. I would have liked to have seen a gear adjustment as she has pulled hard at both runs this campaign, but if she gets cover, she can run over the top of them late.
Dangers:
IT’S A MYTH (4) will be giving them a start, she draws to get a nice economical run but getting back off the inside, she may need a little luck when the runs come. She gets a nice claim and is very consistent. BLINDER (3) has shown an ability to do it at both ends in his brief career, he was outstanding after being off the track without cover at Sandown and has been given three weeks to freshen up off that run. EXCEEDINLGY EASY (11) beat the girls to get her maiden out of the way last time, this is obviously harder but she maps well and has been very consistent in maiden grade.
Race 4: BM64 Handicap 1600m
VON MYSTIC (4) won resuming and has had excuses at his last couple when held-up at a vital stage, but he has shown he has a real heart and kept working to the line even when everything doesn’t go right. His run two back at Sandown was super when the pattern of the race was completely against him.
Dangers:
KAIMU (11) has good tactical speed and looks one of the leaders, she over-raced last start at the Valley when wide without cover on the pace but had the audacity to still be there late. She maps a lot better here. MISS SKEPTICAL (10) gets the soft draw, has good tactical speed so if she jumps away cleanly expect that she will be trying to lead, but she may be best served to take a sit and ride for luck. She has been up for a while and looks a good risk. TRIGGER POINT (5) will find this easier than last start at the Valley, he has been up for a while but looks suited by the five-day back-up.
Race 5: BM70 Handicap 1440m
CHAROSSA (9) looks to have come back a different horse this prep, he was super up on the speed when winning fresh and although he looked to have every chance last time, he may have just been a little flat second-up after the long spell. This is his first go here and hard to line up the form, but he will go forward and be on the speed for a long way.
Dangers:
SEAS NO LIMIT (8) is an interesting runner resuming, he will probably need further but if they don’t get it their own way in front, look for him late. He will improve on whatever he does here. GOETHE (2) is also a get back and run on type, he may have a little more speed in his legs and has been good at both runs this prep. CRITICAL THINKING (3) will go forward, not sure the lead will be ideal for him and happy to lay if he is at the top of the market.
Race 6: BM64 Handicap 1000m
This looks the most open race of the day, FROM THE CLOUDS (11) gets some tinkering with the gear after placing at his last couple. She has been forced to come wide at her last couple and hasn’t been beaten far, if she gets a cart into it, she can run over the top of them.
Dangers:
COSMIC RUBY (13) is a last start midden winner, she wasn’t the best away and was forced to do a stack of work when making the run wide and without cover. It has proven to be a great form reference also. KAIPAKI (12) was heavily backed deep in the red to win his maiden last time, he was resuming off a 20-week break and looks as though he may have come back a different horse. LEFT JAYBEE OUT (7) is a last start winner in 70-grade, she has to carry a lot more weight here but will go forward and may prove hard to catch.
Race 7: Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap 1440m
OCEAN DEEP (4) has had two runs back from the paddock, she was good fresh then had no luck at Sandown last time when she was hampered by a falling horse, before running on hard late to narrowly miss. The seven furlongs looks right up her alley, maps well and should be running on hard.
Dangers:
PALMATEER (1) has been south of the border at her last couple, she comes to Caulfield for the first time and just needs the right cart into it. She has been wide at her last couple, has been up for a long time but is still racing well. LADY CROMAC (2) is another that has been in work for a long time, she has versatility and wasn’t beaten far behind the topweight last time. MISS MO (6) is a speedy type that will try and cross and lead all the way, she will need a couple of cheap sectionals as she looked to have every chance last time.
Race 8: BM64 Handicap 1800m
TAVISTOCK DANCER (12) was a winner on debut, he looks to have a stack of talent. He was well ridden, ran on hard but was all over the shop late, if the jock can get him to go straight over the concluding stages, he would have won by further. This is harder obviously but the big field should make for an even race, he could have more upside.
Dangers:
CHAPOUTIER (13) hasn’t won this time in, and hasn’t won out of maiden grade, but her last two starts have been good. She will get back and hopefully ridden for luck, she will run on hard. BLUE BEAR (11) has placed at both runs this campaign, he comes through a form race a few of these came through and has a good finish on him. CAREERING AWAY (10) has versatility, he finally racked up his second win at Tatura where he led throughout. That was a lot easier, he was very short in the betting but was also very dominant.